A general rule of thumb is:
“The greater the crater, the greater the diameter of the bullet hole will be than the original nominal caliber. The flattening bullet is pushing the metal target and deforming to become wider than it’s original diameter.
For Example: (with lead bullets)
A .22 caliber may leave a .30 caliber hole.
A .38 caliber (or 9mm) may leave a .45 caliber hole.
A .45 (or .44) may leave a hole greater than one-half inch in diameter!
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